{
  "already_revealed_receipt_count": 7,
  "already_revealed_receipts_human_lane_eligible": false,
  "combined_probability": null,
  "completed_holdout_window_count": 0,
  "evaluation_as_of": "2026-07-28T17:32:25Z",
  "evaluation_sha256": "f4f61935bf2baf1a7f1397e107ec1c0262ce7f203fccc9d2e49716f2984e50da",
  "evaluation_status": "not_eligible_no_prospective_matched_human_outcomes",
  "heldout_event_family_count": 0,
  "heldout_event_family_count_by_domain": {},
  "lane_scores_all_resolved": {
    "human": {
      "brier": null,
      "log_loss": null,
      "n": 0
    },
    "market": {
      "brier": null,
      "log_loss": null,
      "n": 0
    },
    "model": {
      "brier": null,
      "log_loss": null,
      "n": 0
    },
    "published_macroguru": {
      "brier": null,
      "log_loss": null,
      "n": 0
    }
  },
  "method_version": "blind-prospective-two-arm-hybrid-v1",
  "negative_result": "7 current receipts were already public before the human lane opened and are therefore excluded. No prospective resolved human forecast is available; both hybrid arms, every learned weight, and the combined probability remain unavailable.",
  "primary_score_eligible_count": 0,
  "production_weights": {
    "with_market": null,
    "without_market": null
  },
  "promotion_count_gate_passed": false,
  "promotion_gates": {
    "arms": {
      "with_market": {
        "both_windows_scored": false,
        "calibration_in_both_windows": false,
        "completed_holdout_windows": false,
        "heldout_event_family_counts": false,
        "promoted": false,
        "proper_score_superiority_in_both_windows": false,
        "verified_market_costs_in_both_windows": false
      },
      "without_market": {
        "both_windows_scored": false,
        "calibration_in_both_windows": false,
        "completed_holdout_windows": false,
        "heldout_event_family_counts": false,
        "promoted": false,
        "proper_score_superiority_in_both_windows": false,
        "verified_market_costs_in_both_windows": false
      }
    },
    "completed_holdout_window_gate_passed": false
  },
  "prospective_resolved_human_submission_count": 0,
  "protocol_registered_at": "2026-07-28T17:32:25Z",
  "protocol_sha256": "15f5ed26a3e35228445fc35c89ccce6c8124333502ab1abfb7b4111ab91ca5cd",
  "public_claim": "MacroGuru has preregistered the comparison, not demonstrated hybrid superiority. A negative result will remain public.",
  "range_only_excluded_from_primary_score_count": 0,
  "schema_version": "1.0.0",
  "unresolved_rows_used_for_weight_fitting": 0,
  "windows": [
    {
      "arms": {
        "with_market": {
          "calibration": null,
          "calibration_gate_passed": false,
          "holdout_event_family_count": 0,
          "market_cost_gate_passed": false,
          "paired_improvement_intervals": null,
          "reason": "Requires 30 earlier matched resolved event families and a non-empty registered holdout.",
          "scores": null,
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "superiority_gate_passed": false,
          "training_event_family_count": 0,
          "weights": null
        },
        "without_market": {
          "calibration": null,
          "calibration_gate_passed": false,
          "holdout_event_family_count": 0,
          "market_cost_gate_passed": true,
          "paired_improvement_intervals": null,
          "reason": "Requires 30 earlier matched resolved event families and a non-empty registered holdout.",
          "scores": null,
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "superiority_gate_passed": false,
          "training_event_family_count": 0,
          "weights": null
        }
      },
      "holdout_ends_at": "2027-01-31T23:59:59Z",
      "holdout_event_family_count": 0,
      "holdout_event_family_count_by_domain": {},
      "holdout_starts_at": "2026-11-01T00:00:00Z",
      "training_event_family_count": 0,
      "training_resolved_through": "2026-10-31T23:59:59Z",
      "window_id": "holdout-2026q4-2027q1"
    },
    {
      "arms": {
        "with_market": {
          "calibration": null,
          "calibration_gate_passed": false,
          "holdout_event_family_count": 0,
          "market_cost_gate_passed": false,
          "paired_improvement_intervals": null,
          "reason": "Requires 30 earlier matched resolved event families and a non-empty registered holdout.",
          "scores": null,
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "superiority_gate_passed": false,
          "training_event_family_count": 0,
          "weights": null
        },
        "without_market": {
          "calibration": null,
          "calibration_gate_passed": false,
          "holdout_event_family_count": 0,
          "market_cost_gate_passed": true,
          "paired_improvement_intervals": null,
          "reason": "Requires 30 earlier matched resolved event families and a non-empty registered holdout.",
          "scores": null,
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "superiority_gate_passed": false,
          "training_event_family_count": 0,
          "weights": null
        }
      },
      "holdout_ends_at": "2027-04-30T23:59:59Z",
      "holdout_event_family_count": 0,
      "holdout_event_family_count_by_domain": {},
      "holdout_starts_at": "2027-02-01T00:00:00Z",
      "training_event_family_count": 0,
      "training_resolved_through": "2027-01-31T23:59:59Z",
      "window_id": "holdout-2027q1-2027q2"
    }
  ]
}