MACROGURU Research · 001

Utilities returned 0.8% in a year electricity demand boomed

UTILITIES (XLU) trailed the S&P 500 by 21.6 points over the past year, and the shortfall reads as a verdict on the sector. It is better understood as a timing mismatch, in a year led by assets the fund does not own.

MacroGuru · 2026-08-09

$XLU$43.61+0.8%$SPX$7,766.35+22.4%Not listed on Hyperliquid. Trades on NYSE Arca. · Prices from NYSE Arca and Hyperliquid. Returns from our own daily series.
Utilities returned 0.8% in a year electricity demand boomed
UTILITIES, 1 year+0.8%
S&P 500, 1 year+22.4%
52-week range$41.31 to $47.73
Middle case-0.2%

Demand returned. The shares did not.

US retail electricity sales rose 1.55% in total between 2005 and 2020, and fell 0.99% between 2010 and 2020. That plateau has ended. Sales rose 9.15% between 2020 and 2025.2 Datacentre load is named as a major driver, with industrial demand also contributing.

UTILITIES (XLU) did not follow. The fund closed at $43.61 on 7 August 2026, 8.6% below its twelve-month high of $47.73 and near a low of $41.31.1 Its price return over the year was +0.8%. With dividends reinvested it was +3.6%. The S&P 500 returned +22.4% on price, a gap of 21.6 points.

XLU is a fund rather than an operating company. Its name at the SEC is the State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF, and it tracks the S&P 500 companies classified as utilities. One share buys the sector.

The deepest drawdown of the past year was 9.9%, an ordinary correction rather than a repricing. Over three months the fund is down 2.5%, over one month 3.9%. This is not a sector in distress. Its demand story has not yet become an earnings story.

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Not investment advice.