MacroGuru regime …

Tomorrow's market news, today — with the odds attached.
$1,000,000 paper account · checking data freshness… · every number stamped with its own time ·
New ✦ flagship ⟿ The News‑Board From the Future Enter →
Tomorrow's headlines as probabilities — 10,580 scenarios by sector, our model odds vs the live Polymarket/Kalshi crowd, the cross‑asset impact, and a one‑tap bet. Each scenario is its own page.
Reactive engine
Deep causal cascade → HL paper trades · correlation/hedge · evidence
Scenario Lab 10,580
10,580 scenarios · probability + timeline · butterfly mindmap · long/short/cash + HL trade · measured history
Reality Check new
How close to reality are we? Every prediction scored against what actually happens — Brier, calibration, vs the crowd. Wins & losses, in public.
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Asset Charts 62
Every market's real price history with 1,800+ macro events mapped as red dots · hover for the measured impact
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World Map 80
Scenarios mapped by country · click a nation to see the macro events that hit it + its connected economies
Live state
Current positions · regime · yield · cost ledger
What-if cascade
Type a hypothesis → butterfly engine projects cascade
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People are asking
The what-ifs readers run most — anonymized & ranked
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Asset outlooks
Per-asset near-term read + every scenario that moves it
Mechanism
Architecture · sleeves · decision flow
Data quality
Source reliability grades · known gotchas
Scenario lifecycle SOP
How to add any scenario/market — pre & post-check lists
Frontier scenario spec
AI · medicine · science · energy · space · nature — good & bad outcomes
🌍 Scenarios by country
Click any country to read the macro scenarios that could hit it — and the globally connected economies that move with it. Shaded by how many of the 10,580 scenarios name each nation.
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snapshot
Active hypotheses
Open positions
across hypothesis + sleeve sources
Gross exposure
Last tick
cascade engine run
active hypotheses
cross-asset MCPT edges (strategy × asset)
Legend: ✓ p ≤ 0.05 (pass) · ~ p ≤ 0.10 (watch) · ✗ p > 0.10 (no edge) · — no data
data source grades (research-calibrated)
SourceGradeRoleKey gotcha
bin/event_tick.py auto-runs every 5 min · bin/whatif.py for manual hypotheses · bin/run_mcpt_cross_asset.py for strategy validation · bin/build_portfolio.py for portfolio optimization