checking data freshness… The engine watching the world from the
integrated intel sources — and grading itself against history. Corroborated macro events flow in,
get matched to the what-if scenarios they resemble, and the baseline shows how often our forward
cascade agrees with the measured record. Every number carries its own timestamp.
Live intel · corroborated macro events
Pulled from the integrated sources (official data, wire/world news, on-chain,
calendars), corroborated across independent source classes, then matched to the nearest what-if scenario.
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Cascade baseline · backtest vs measured history — not a track record
Reliability & probability discipline
Left: corroboration rises with measurement confidence. Right: most scenarios sit at
low probability — disciplined, base-rate-anchored priors, not 50/50 guesses.
corroboration by confidence
scenarios by probability
Coverage · no asset left behind
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Paper book & P&L · every fill on the record
The engine's PAPER account, marked daily against the same price cache the event
studies use. The book replaces at each engine run — fills, costs and the curve are all published,
wins or losses.