The receipt · a call frozen on the record

The lira keeps sliding

✓ RIGHT — we said 79% on 2026-08-04 · resolved 2026-08-13 · evidence ↗

TRY close 2026-08-10 47.72 vs 2026-08-03 47.54 → higher

The claim: The Turkish lira weakens again — USD/TRY finishes the week higher than it started. The engine's single strongest read this week: 79%.
Published: week of 2026-08-04 · resolves: 2026-08-10

The resolution rule — fixed before the outcome

TRUE if USD/TRY's daily close on 2026-08-10 is higher than its 2026-08-03 daily close (the lira weakens over the week); FALSE if it closes flat or lower. Settled on MacroGuru's daily price cache — the same series both dates.

frozen in the prediction chain — event #35 · hash f4ab20d02dd9 · the chain is public and verifiable; editing this call after the fact would snap it.

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Context

The full scenario & cascade → · This week's calls · The public scorecard · a 79% call fails 2 times in 10 — that's the deal.