The receipt · a call frozen on the record

The lira weakens again — the model repeats its 87% after a miss by a tenth of a percent

OPEN — resolves 2026-09-08. The rule below was fixed before the outcome; this page is the receipt.

The claim: USD/TRY finishes the week higher than it started (48.27 at issuance). Still the only number above 70% on the board — one week after the same call missed.
Published: week of 2026-09-01 · resolves: 2026-09-08

The resolution rule — fixed before the outcome

TRUE if USD/TRY's daily close on 2026-09-08 is higher than its 2026-09-01 daily close (the lira weakens over the week); FALSE if it closes flat or lower. Settled on MacroGuru's daily price cache — the same series both dates.

frozen in the prediction chain — event #57 · hash 2b809170403a · the chain is public and verifiable; editing this call after the fact would snap it.

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Context

The full scenario & cascade → · This week's calls · The public scorecard · a 87% call fails 1 times in 10 — that's the deal.