Volatility

Volatility (VIX)

VIX—Current priceloadingHyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual · xyz:VIX · provider market, not official cash close

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for Volatility (VIX), from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 6562 up vs 2239 down scenarios

Volatility (VIX) has 8,801 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 6,562 upside and 2,239 downside channels—more upside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-12. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move Volatility (VIX) — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes Volatility (VIX) up

RSF siege of el-Fasher triggers Darfur famine	Odds not verified	+9.1%	0–6 months
Ukraine farmland war damage	Odds not verified	+10.0%	0–6 months
Gaza war regional spillover	Odds not verified	+12.6%	0–6 months
Lebanon ceasefire collapses, Beirut bombed	Odds not verified	+12.6%	0–6 months

+ 6,558 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes Volatility (VIX) down

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire	Odds not verified	−13.9%	0–6 months
Red Sea reopens, freight and oil premia unwind	Odds not verified	−6.7%	1–3 years
Junta-coastal détente reopens Sahel trade	Odds not verified	−6.8%	1–3 years
Sahel ceasefire halts the jihadist advance	Odds not verified	−7.3%	1–3 years

+ 2,235 more down-scenarios in the library

Related Volatility: — · Run your own what-if → · What others are asking →