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High-yield credit

HYG

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for High-yield credit, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 1460 up vs 5985 down scenarios

High-yield credit has 7,445 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 1,460 upside and 5,985 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-12. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move High-yield credit — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes High-yield credit up

Vietnam FTSE EM go-live triggers $6bn+ passive inflow wave	Odds not verified	+0.4%	0–6 months
Dovish dot-plot surprise: the Fed pencils in deeper 2026 easing	Odds not verified	+0.7%	0–6 months
Money-Market Liquidity Facility reopens, CP market thaws	Odds not verified	+0.7%	0–6 months
Standing repo facility caps the funding spike at the ceiling	Odds not verified	+0.6%	0–6 months

+ 1,456 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes High-yield credit down

Syndicator bridge-loan implosion	Odds not verified	−1.4%	0–6 months
Mortgage renewal cliff	Odds not verified	−1.2%	0–6 months
France loses AAA-equivalent peers	Odds not verified	−1.0%	0–6 months
Uninsured-deposit digital run	Odds not verified	−1.6%	0–6 months

+ 5,981 more down-scenarios in the library