Rates

30y Treasury yield

DGS30

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for 30y Treasury yield, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 2197 up vs 1009 down scenarios

30y Treasury yield has 3,206 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 2,197 upside and 1,009 downside channels—more upside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-12. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move 30y Treasury yield — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes 30y Treasury yield up

Energy-led CPI overshoot lifts breakevens and real yields	Odds not verified	+0.1%	0–6 months
Treasury auction tail shock	Odds not verified	+0.1%	0–6 months
Oil-shock $130 Brent with gold FALLING	Odds not verified	+0.2%	0–6 months
Oil-shock stagflation forces a Fed hawkish hold	Odds not verified	+0.2%	0–6 months

+ 2,193 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes 30y Treasury yield down

Dovish dot-plot surprise: the Fed pencils in deeper 2026 easing	Odds not verified	−0.1%	0–6 months
Saudi riyal peg scare returns	Odds not verified	−0.1%	0–6 months
Credible bipartisan US deficit deal pulls the term premium lower	Odds not verified	−0.1%	1–3 years
DXY melt-up triggers an EM sudden stop and reserve drain	Odds not verified	−0.1%	0–6 months

+ 1,005 more down-scenarios in the library