Equities

ASML

ASML—Current priceloadingHyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual · xyz:ASML · provider market, not official cash close

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for ASML, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 798 up vs 3058 down scenarios

ASML has 3,856 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 798 upside and 3,058 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-12. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move ASML — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes ASML up

US-China grand bargain on chips and minerals	Odds not verified	+1.9%	6–18 months
AI productivity boom validates the capex super-cycle	Odds not verified	+1.2%	1–3 years
TSMC Arizona 2nm ramp dilutes Taiwan single-point-of-failure	Odds not verified	+1.0%	3–10 years
US-China Busan truce extended past Nov 2026	Odds not verified	+1.7%	0–6 months

+ 794 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes ASML down

China re-imposes global antimony ban	Odds not verified	−1.9%	0–6 months
Tech-personnel exit ban	Odds not verified	−3.9%	0–6 months
Taiwan customs quarantine	Odds not verified	−3.8%	0–6 months
Full rare-earth magnet halt	Odds not verified	−2.1%	0–6 months

+ 3,054 more down-scenarios in the library

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