Equities

Semiconductors

SMH—Current priceloadingHyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual · xyz:SMH · provider market, not official cash close

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for Semiconductors, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 2149 up vs 6250 down scenarios

Semiconductors has 8,399 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 2,149 upside and 6,250 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-12. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move Semiconductors — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes Semiconductors up

EU-US tariff truce averts trade war	Odds not verified	+1.7%	0–6 months
AI lifts trend growth a full point	Odds not verified	+2.9%	3–10 years
AGI-level model arrives	Odds not verified	+3.8%	1–3 years
AI agents automate office work	Odds not verified	+3.0%	1–3 years

+ 2,145 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes Semiconductors down

China re-imposes global antimony ban	Odds not verified	−3.2%	0–6 months
Full rare-earth magnet halt	Odds not verified	−3.4%	0–6 months
US slaps 40% tariff on Vietnam transshipped-content goods	Odds not verified	−2.2%	0–6 months
EU auto cap torn up	Odds not verified	−3.4%	0–6 months

+ 6,246 more down-scenarios in the library

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