Equities

TSMC

TSM—Current priceloadingHyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual · xyz:TSM · provider market, not official cash close

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for TSMC, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 1201 up vs 4599 down scenarios

TSMC has 5,800 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 1,201 upside and 4,599 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-12. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

Loading chart…

Top scenarios that move TSMC — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes TSMC up

US-China grand bargain on chips and minerals	Odds not verified	+2.8%	6–18 months
TSMC Arizona 2nm ramp dilutes Taiwan single-point-of-failure	Odds not verified	+1.6%	3–10 years
AI productivity boom validates the capex super-cycle	Odds not verified	+1.6%	1–3 years
US-China Busan truce extended past Nov 2026	Odds not verified	+2.3%	0–6 months

+ 1,197 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes TSMC down

China re-imposes global antimony ban	Odds not verified	−2.6%	0–6 months
Tech-personnel exit ban	Odds not verified	−5.7%	0–6 months
Taiwan customs quarantine	Odds not verified	−5.4%	0–6 months
China reinstates gallium cutoff	Odds not verified	−5.0%	0–6 months

+ 4,595 more down-scenarios in the library

Related Equities: MicroStrategy · Tech sector · Financials · Coinbase · Semiconductors · JPMorgan · Nvidia · AMD · Run your own what-if → · What others are asking →