EUR/USD

EURUSD—Current priceloadingHyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual · xyz:EUR · provider market, not official cash close

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for EUR/USD, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 778 up vs 1987 down scenarios

EUR/USD has 2,765 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 778 upside and 1,987 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-13. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move EUR/USD — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes EUR/USD up

Central-bank gold super-surge tops 1,300t/yr	Odds not verified	+0.9%	1–3 years
Structural dollar-bear cycle sparks a broad EM-FX renaissance	Odds not verified	+1.3%	1–3 years
De-dollarization reshapes EM reserve management and trade invoicing	Odds not verified	+1.0%	3–10 years
Multipolar reserve order erodes dollar primacy	Odds not verified	+1.3%	3–10 years

+ 774 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes EUR/USD down

DXY melt-up triggers an EM sudden stop and reserve drain	Odds not verified	−1.5%	0–6 months
Risk-off dollar spike on geopolitical shock	Odds not verified	−1.3%	0–6 months
Risk-off dollar spike triggers broad EM-FX intervention	Odds not verified	−1.3%	0–6 months
Hidden $80tn FX-swap dollar debt can't roll, basis blows out	Odds not verified	−1.7%	0–6 months

+ 1,983 more down-scenarios in the library