Aussie dollar

AUD

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for Aussie dollar, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 775 up vs 2146 down scenarios

Aussie dollar has 2,921 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 775 upside and 2,146 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-13. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move Aussie dollar — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes Aussie dollar up

PBOC trims policy rates (LPR/MLF) to revive credit demand	Odds not verified	+0.6%	0–6 months
PBOC cuts the RRR to flood the banking system with liquidity	Odds not verified	+0.6%	0–6 months
PBOC unleashes a stimulus bazooka to defibrillate demand	Odds not verified	+0.7%	6–18 months
PBOC and fiscal authorities co-launch a consumption-stimulus combo	Odds not verified	+0.7%	6–18 months

+ 771 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes Aussie dollar down

DXY melt-up triggers an EM sudden stop and reserve drain	Odds not verified	−0.8%	0–6 months
Vietnam transshipment rate hiked	Odds not verified	−0.8%	0–6 months
Risk-off dollar spike on geopolitical shock	Odds not verified	−0.7%	0–6 months
BOK defends won past 1,600	Odds not verified	−0.7%	0–6 months

+ 2,142 more down-scenarios in the library