Equities

Utilities

XLU

← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for Utilities, from the 10,580-scenario library.

Current outlook limited

The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.

Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.

Scenario map 590 up vs 2693 down scenarios

Utilities has 3,283 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 590 upside and 2,693 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.

Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.

Historical price record

Last recorded observation: 2026-08-12. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.

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Top scenarios that move Utilities — ranked by impact

▲ Pushes Utilities up

Fed quietly expands balance sheet	Odds not verified	+0.5%	0–6 months
Dovish dot-plot surprise: the Fed pencils in deeper 2026 easing	Odds not verified	+0.4%	0–6 months
Fed skips a meeting, opening the door to a soft-landing pause	Odds not verified	+0.3%	0–6 months
Fed declares the last mile won and front-loads relief cuts	Odds not verified	+0.5%	6–18 months

+ 586 more up-scenarios in the library

▼ Pushes Utilities down

Oil-spike inflation scare forces a hawkish Fed hold	Odds not verified	−0.5%	0–6 months
Syndicator bridge-loan implosion	Odds not verified	−0.3%	0–6 months
Mag-7 concentration unwind	Odds not verified	−0.5%	0–6 months
Energy-led CPI overshoot lifts breakevens and real yields	Odds not verified	−0.4%	0–6 months

+ 2,689 more down-scenarios in the library

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