Commodities
Palladium
XPD—Current priceloadingHyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual · xyz:PALLADIUM · provider market, not official cash close← all asset outlooks · the strongest mapped scenarios for Palladium, from the 10,580-scenario library.
Current outlook limited
The latest forecast is outside its freshness window; the price history has not refreshed within three days. The scenario map remains available. MacroGuru is withholding a current probability and static price until the inputs refresh.
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Missing data is a coverage gap, not a neutral market signal. Historical scenarios remain visible for research and search indexing.
Scenario map
770 up vs 1032 down scenarios
Palladium has 1,802 mapped macro scenarios. The library contains 770 upside and 1,032 downside channels—more downside channels. This is a scenario inventory, not a current directional forecast.
Scenario relationships are research context, not a current market call. Informational, not investment advice.
Historical price record
Last recorded observation: 2026-08-13. Shown as historical context, not a current market price.
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Top scenarios that move Palladium — ranked by impact
▲ Pushes Palladium up
| PBOC trims policy rates (LPR/MLF) to revive credit demand | Odds not verified | +0.6% | 0–6 months |
| PBOC cuts the RRR to flood the banking system with liquidity | Odds not verified | +0.5% | 0–6 months |
| PBOC unleashes a stimulus bazooka to defibrillate demand | Odds not verified | +0.7% | 6–18 months |
| M23 advances on Uvira, threatening Lake Tanganyika | Odds not verified | +0.3% | 0–6 months |
+ 766 more up-scenarios in the library
▼ Pushes Palladium down
| Stimulus bazooka underwhelms | Odds not verified | −0.5% | 0–6 months |
| Commodity reflation trade unwinds | Odds not verified | −0.6% | 0–6 months |
| China property bust collapses copper demand into glut | Odds not verified | −0.4% | 6–18 months |
| China rare-earth curbs on autos | Odds not verified | −0.4% | 0–6 months |
+ 1,028 more down-scenarios in the library
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